The Emotional Lens That Clouds Geopolitics
In India,
emotionalism often overrides realism. When it comes to geopolitics, this
becomes especially true, our perception of world leaders, especially U.S.
presidents, is frequently shaped not by ground strategy but by hope, hurt, and
headlines. Many Indians believe Donald Trump is "anti-India." But is
this belief rooted in fact or just frustration? The truth is far more nuanced and
far more important to understand.
Let’s decode
the perception, peel back the layers of strategic misreading, and explore why Donald
Trump is not against India, even if his policies might sometimes appear
uncomfortable.
The
“America First” Doctrine: Not “India Last”
Donald Trump
is, first and foremost, the President of the United States, not a global
guardian. His foreign policies are crafted to benefit American interests, not
necessarily to appease allies. His unpredictability is not a flaw—it’s a strategic
weapon, often designed to extract leverage in negotiations.
Expecting
Trump to favor India at the cost of American jobs, trade, or influence is a
misplaced expectation. That does not make him anti-India. It makes him a
shrewd president serving his own nation, just as any Indian leader is expected
to do for India.
Why
People Think Trump Is Against India: A Closer Look
Policy
/ Incident |
Impact
on India |
Public
Perception |
H-1B Visa
Ban |
Hit Indian
tech workers |
Anti-immigration,
anti-India diaspora |
GSP
Withdrawal |
Hurt
Indian exporters |
Start of
trade war |
Kashmir
Mediation Offer |
Diplomatic
awkwardness |
Interference
in sovereignty |
Meeting
with Pakistan’s Army Chief |
Seen as
betrayal |
Favoring
Pakistan |
Bangladesh
Policy |
Ignored
Chinese interference |
Abandoning
India's neighborhood interests |
Weak
Support During Galwan |
No
military backing |
Not a
reliable partner against China |
Let’s now
break down these events with facts, strategy, and perspective.
1. H-1B
Visa Ban: Domestic Policy, Not India-Targeted
Trump’s
immigration tightening under "America First" was aimed at protecting
U.S. jobs post-recession and during COVID not attacking India. While it
affected Indian IT professionals, Indian nationals still dominate H-1B
visa approvals.
➡ Fact Check:
In FY 2023, around 191,000 Indian professionals were granted H-1B visas.
In FY 2024, the number rose to 207,000+.
Indians
continue to be the largest beneficiaries. Rather than lament U.S.
policies, we should strengthen India's domestic work culture, pay scale, and
infrastructure to retain our talent at home.
2. GSP
Withdrawal: A Balanced Trade Move
India
enjoyed duty-free exports under the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP).
But with India’s exports already enjoying a cost advantage due to currency
differentials, Trump argued it unfairly undercut American manufacturers.
➡ Perspective:
India, too, imposes tariffs to protect its industries. This is not hostility,
but reciprocity in trade negotiations.
Rather than
expecting perpetual preference, India should scale quality and production
to compete on global standards, something the Modi government is actively
pursuing through PLI schemes and Make-in-India initiatives.
3. Kashmir
Mediation Offer: Misread Diplomacy
Trump’s
offer to mediate between India and Pakistan on Kashmir was more of a symbolic
gesture than an actionable threat. Mediation offers are diplomatic tools,
not declarations of alignment.
➡ Truth Behind the Hype:
India rejected the offer, and Trump respected that. More importantly, during
the Indo-Pak conflict, Trump’s administration did not supply arms to
Pakistan, whereas China and Turkey were openly backing Islamabad.
Compare that
with the historical U.S. behavior during the Cold War—arming Pakistan,
deploying USS Enterprise during the 1971 war, and sanctioning India post-1998
nuclear tests. Trump’s era, relatively, marked a policy reset.
4. Meeting
with Pakistan’s Army Chief: A Strategic Counterweight to China
Trump’s
controversial meeting with Gen. Bajwa (now Gen. Asim Munir) raised eyebrows in
India. But consider the larger picture: if the U.S. can pull Pakistan
away from China, it reduces Beijing’s influence in the Indian Ocean region.
➡ Geostrategic Chess:
If Pakistan becomes less of a Chinese pawn, it benefits Indian security,
especially against CPEC projects that threaten Indian territorial integrity in
POK.
Such
backchannel diplomacy, while uncomfortable, may serve India’s long-term
interests more than open confrontation.
5. Bangladesh
Tilt: A Missed Indian Opportunity
Much before
Trump, India failed to assert itself in Bangladesh’s shifting political
landscape. When Sheikh Hasina’s government weakened and pro-China influences
grew, India chose caution over action.
➡ Trump’s Response:
By imposing a 35% flat tariff on Bangladeshi goods (from Aug 2025), the
U.S. created economic friction with Dhaka, giving India an opening to
reassert regional influence.
The onus is
now on India to capitalize on this moment, militarily, economically, and
culturally, because expecting Trump to fight our regional battles is
unrealistic.
6. Weak
Support During Galwan: Misunderstood Silence
Yes, Trump
didn’t send troops during the Galwan clash. But did we expect direct U.S.
intervention in a non-shooting standoff?
➡ Behind the Scenes:
The U.S. provided satellite intelligence, expedited defense agreements
like BECA and COMCASA, and vocally criticized China’s aggression. That's strategic
support, not silence.
Time to
Recalibrate Our Expectations
Donald Trump
is not anti-India. He is pro-America. And India must be pro-India, not
emotionally reactive, but strategically alert.
Our
expectations from foreign leaders must align with geopolitical realism,
not cinematic diplomacy. Instead of demanding affection, we should negotiate respect.
And that respect, in many ways, Trump gave us, even if not always with the
fanfare we wanted.
Final
Thought:
India’s
future lies not in who rules Washington but in how Delhi positions itself,
as a confident civilizational state, capable of shaping its region, managing
alliances, and leading the Global South. The Trump era is not a betrayal, it is
a mirror. It's time we looked into it with clarity.
By Pradeep Mahaur – Pradeep Mahaur Magazine | Hindu Wisdom and Global Affairs
References:
1.
USCISFY 2024 H-1B Visa Statistics
2.
Officeof the U.S. Trade Representative – GSP Program
3.
India’sReaction to Trump’s Kashmir Mediation Offer – The Hindu
4.
GalwanClash Coverage – India Today
5.
Donald
Trump's Letter to Bangladesh on Tariffs – Economic Times
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